Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 151.906953 177.742008 208.589172 248.714478 300.411736 3.660575e+02 4.579035e+02
2025-02-16 118.053756 149.106392 190.602082 252.199012 345.317165 4.884829e+02 7.434581e+02
2025-02-23 99.793096 132.138788 178.570931 253.920002 381.809755 6.105434e+02 1.115670e+03
2025-03-02 88.268840 121.173163 171.119814 258.269383 421.665076 7.577941e+02 1.685269e+03
2025-03-09 79.579310 112.444801 164.652102 261.489194 459.735447 9.252822e+02 2.553270e+03
2025-03-16 71.138739 102.629266 154.338398 254.751825 474.913942 1.051869e+03 3.567236e+03
2025-03-23 67.293693 99.500178 154.528518 267.591991 538.234952 1.362053e+03 6.444669e+03
2025-03-30 60.917890 91.309425 144.405454 257.085790 541.238882 1.491872e+03 9.060540e+03
2025-04-06 57.129918 87.051743 140.762298 259.411457 579.202009 1.794489e+03 1.630463e+04
2025-04-13 53.465027 82.579832 136.032572 258.196927 607.192442 2.100324e+03 3.052984e+04
2025-04-20 51.842794 81.541063 137.750224 272.384532 690.352276 2.836406e+03 1.157821e+05
2025-04-27 51.419573 82.610802 143.811366 299.003537 834.631742 4.398556e+03 8.326747e+06
2025-05-04 47.906383 77.827812 137.667501 294.167492 867.583974 5.355791e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 45.408879 74.790233 134.960134 298.596540 947.001644 7.363891e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 43.040933 71.742326 131.755880 300.773018 1021.009924 1.012728e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 41.135413 69.409280 129.810955 306.279590 1120.307292 1.508560e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 39.332137 67.099132 127.581073 310.361745 1220.009842 2.317554e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 37.022445 63.544113 121.941762 301.825469 1237.479758 2.958807e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 36.185079 62.971163 123.428903 318.112183 1444.651684 6.847553e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 34.008651 59.389262 117.033790 304.780214 1422.281183 8.428294e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 32.754552 57.683333 115.171300 307.726987 1538.546035 1.810858e+05 NaN
2025-07-06 31.407807 55.673078 112.297533 306.187784 1619.441391 4.071591e+05 NaN
2025-07-13 30.935185 55.526569 114.242841 324.210595 1926.239371 1.449316e+07 NaN